GSW 111-114 SAS, April 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat GSW 114-111, but GSW's shots were worth 111.5 points to SAS's 99.3.

GSW 111-114 SAS, April 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	86	88	89.4	23/28	22.1	111	111.5
SAS	81	96	83.0	18/21	16.3	114	99.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.