TOR 126-96 CHA, April 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat CHA 126-96, and TOR's shots were worth 133.6 points to CHA's 103.7.

TOR 126-96 CHA, April 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	104	117	124.4	9/12	9.2	126	133.6
CHA	82	83	91.0	13/16	12.7	96	103.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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