WAS 103-122 PHI, April 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat WAS 122-103, and PHI's shots were worth 129.2 points to WAS's 109.8.

WAS 103-122 PHI, April 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	87	78	86.7	25/30	23.1	103	109.8
PHI	91	94	100.2	28/38	29.0	122	129.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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