ORL 96-76 BOS, April 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat BOS 96-76, and ORL's shots were worth 102.0 points to BOS's 97.0.

ORL 96-76 BOS, April 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ORL919095.66/86.596102.0
BOS827192.45/64.67697.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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