NYK 117-119 BOS, April 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat NYK 119-117, but NYK's shots were worth 118.5 points to BOS's 114.0.

NYK 117-119 BOS, April 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NYK101107105.510/1613.0117118.5
BOS879993.820/2520.2119114.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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