BKN 119-114 NOP, April 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat NOP 119-114, but NOP's shots were worth 117.8 points to BKN's 116.0.

BKN 119-114 NOP, April 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN839997.420/2418.6119116.0
NOP829094.224/3123.7114117.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.