ORL 119-112 ATL, April 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat ATL 119-112, and ORL's shots were worth 115.8 points to ATL's 109.8.

ORL 119-112 ATL, April 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	84	98	92.0	21/31	23.8	119	115.8
ATL	88	94	92.8	18/22	17.0	112	109.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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