DET 117-127 SAC, April 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat DET 127-117, but DET's shots were worth 115.3 points to SAC's 107.2.

DET 117-127 SAC, April 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	89	97	92.8	20/28	22.5	117	115.3
SAC	91	105	85.0	22/27	22.2	127	107.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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