DEN 120-125 IND, April 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat DEN 125-120, and IND's shots were worth 116.1 points to DEN's 115.2.

DEN 120-125 IND, April 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	93	108	101.9	12/18	13.3	120	115.2
IND	96	107	98.9	18/21	17.2	125	116.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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