POR 120-109 SAS, April 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat SAS 120-109, and POR's shots were worth 120.3 points to SAS's 120.0.

POR 120-109 SAS, April 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	89	99	100.3	21/27	20.0	120	120.3
SAS	95	93	103.5	16/21	16.5	109	120.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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