CLE 113-120 SAC, April 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat CLE 120-113, but CLE's shots were worth 121.4 points to SAC's 114.9.

CLE 113-120 SAC, April 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	88	102	106.6	11/19	14.7	113	121.4
SAC	82	102	97.0	18/22	17.8	120	114.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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