OKC 99-126 LAL, April 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat OKC 126-99, but OKC's shots were worth 111.9 points to LAL's 101.4.

OKC 99-126 LAL, April 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	90	90	102.3	9/12	9.6	99	111.9
LAL	84	114	88.9	12/17	12.5	126	101.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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