DET 103-109 MEM, April 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat DET 109-103, but DET's shots were worth 118.7 points to MEM's 116.6.

DET 103-109 MEM, April 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	96	85	100.6	18/23	18.1	103	118.7
MEM	94	87	94.1	22/29	22.6	109	116.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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