ATL 105-121 NYK, April 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NYK beat ATL 121-105, and NYK's shots were worth 117.8 points to ATL's 109.7.

ATL 105-121 NYK, April 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	88	96	100.4	9/12	9.2	105	109.7
NYK	84	105	102.5	16/19	15.3	121	117.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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