HOU 125-111 OKC, April 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat OKC 125-111, and HOU's shots were worth 118.9 points to OKC's 106.8.

HOU 125-111 OKC, April 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	92	103	99.4	22/26	19.5	125	118.9
OKC	89	99	94.8	12/15	12.0	111	106.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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