CHI 118-113 POR, April 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat POR 118-113, but POR's shots were worth 144.8 points to CHI's 124.8.

CHI 118-113 POR, April 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	87	92	99.5	26/31	25.4	118	124.8
POR	115	99	130.8	14/18	14.0	113	144.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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