IND 140-112 UTA, April 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat UTA 140-112, but UTA's shots were worth 122.8 points to IND's 118.7.

IND 140-112 UTA, April 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	89	114	88.2	26/38	30.5	140	118.7
UTA	104	94	106.6	18/21	16.2	112	122.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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