CHA 102-125 SAC, April 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat CHA 125-102, and SAC's shots were worth 118.3 points to CHA's 115.6.

CHA 102-125 SAC, April 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	83	74	89.8	28/34	25.8	102	115.6
SAC	91	106	99.8	19/23	18.6	125	118.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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