LAL 116-123 GSW, April 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat LAL 123-116, but LAL's shots were worth 111.3 points to GSW's 110.8.

LAL 116-123 GSW, April 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	86	96	93.1	20/23	18.2	116	111.3
GSW	82	97	85.3	26/31	25.5	123	110.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.