TOR 103-112 POR, April 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat TOR 112-103, and POR's shots were worth 117.7 points to TOR's 115.1.

TOR 103-112 POR, April 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	96	100	111.4	3/5	3.7	103	115.1
POR	86	94	102.7	18/20	14.9	112	117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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