WAS 97-109 ORL, April 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat WAS 109-97, and ORL's shots were worth 108.3 points to WAS's 92.8.

WAS 97-109 ORL, April 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS858884.49/118.49792.8
ORL828788.722/2519.6109108.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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