LAC 114-98 NOP, April 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat NOP 114-98, but NOP's shots were worth 103.1 points to LAC's 101.1.

LAC 114-98 NOP, April 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	76	93	80.6	21/26	20.5	114	101.1
NOP	85	90	94.5	8/11	8.7	98	103.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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