DEN 106-113 SAS, April 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat DEN 113-106, but DEN's shots were worth 110.8 points to SAS's 105.0.

DEN 106-113 SAS, April 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	96	89	94.6	17/25	16.2	106	110.8
SAS	97	103	95.2	10/13	9.8	113	105.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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