HOU 143-105 UTA, April 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat UTA 143-105, and HOU's shots were worth 131.8 points to UTA's 123.5.

HOU 143-105 UTA, April 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	104	131	117.3	12/19	14.4	143	131.8
UTA	94	90	106.7	15/23	16.7	105	123.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.