BOS 103-124 MIA, April 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat BOS 124-103, but BOS's shots were worth 107.4 points to MIA's 105.5.

BOS 103-124 MIA, April 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	87	90	94.6	13/16	12.9	103	107.4
MIA	83	100	84.4	24/27	21.2	124	105.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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