MEM 125-134 GSW, April 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat MEM 134-125, and GSW's shots were worth 131.2 points to MEM's 112.7.

MEM 125-134 GSW, April 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	92	106	95.6	19/22	17.0	125	112.7
GSW	99	106	108.0	28/28	23.2	134	131.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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