CHI 137-118 TOR, April 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHI beat TOR 137-118, and CHI's shots were worth 129.7 points to TOR's 114.6.

CHI 137-118 TOR, April 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI88114108.223/2721.5137129.7
TOR97108106.410/118.3118114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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