ATL 113-127 POR, April 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat ATL 127-113, and POR's shots were worth 116.3 points to ATL's 113.4.

ATL 113-127 POR, April 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	92	89	91.0	24/28	22.4	113	113.4
POR	103	107	96.1	20/27	20.2	127	116.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.