DAL 109-113 BKN, March 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat DAL 113-109, but DAL's shots were worth 120.1 points to BKN's 114.1.

DAL 109-113 BKN, March 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	86	92	98.5	17/29	21.7	109	120.1
BKN	90	98	99.2	15/20	14.9	113	114.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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