MEM 103-117 BOS, March 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat MEM 117-103, and BOS's shots were worth 117.7 points to MEM's 111.4.

MEM 103-117 BOS, March 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM929398.910/1612.5103111.4
BOS9699102.118/1915.6117117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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