WAS 94-120 MIA, March 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat WAS 120-94, and MIA's shots were worth 121.9 points to WAS's 108.7.

WAS 94-120 MIA, March 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	86	81	94.1	13/18	14.7	94	108.7
MIA	93	103	102.6	17/24	19.3	120	121.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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