IND 111-109 SAC, March 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat SAC 111-109, but SAC's shots were worth 111.3 points to IND's 109.2.

IND 111-109 SAC, March 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	90	98	98.3	13/13	10.9	111	109.2
SAC	92	98	97.5	11/17	13.8	109	111.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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