CHA 110-106 UTA, March 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat UTA 110-106, but UTA's shots were worth 114.6 points to CHA's 100.2.

CHA 110-106 UTA, March 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	80	101	89.8	9/14	10.4	110	100.2
UTA	96	92	103.1	14/15	11.4	106	114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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