PHX 109-148 HOU, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat PHX 148-109, and HOU's shots were worth 134.2 points to PHX's 111.2.

PHX 109-148 HOU, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	87	94	97.9	15/17	13.2	109	111.2
HOU	98	130	115.4	18/25	18.8	148	134.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.