PHI 109-127 TOR, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat PHI 127-109, and TOR's shots were worth 129.0 points to PHI's 119.6.

PHI 109-127 TOR, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	89	92	104.8	17/19	14.8	109	119.6
TOR	103	115	116.0	12/18	13.0	127	129.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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