SAS 106-148 GSW, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat SAS 148-106, and GSW's shots were worth 132.5 points to SAS's 109.3.

SAS 106-148 GSW, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	84	96	97.2	10/16	12.0	106	109.3
GSW	97	133	117.8	15/19	14.7	148	132.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.