NOP 98-94 CHA, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat CHA 98-94, but CHA's shots were worth 122.5 points to NOP's 116.3.

NOP 98-94 CHA, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	92	85	103.5	13/17	12.8	98	116.3
CHA	91	72	103.6	22/25	19.0	94	122.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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