MIN 123-104 DET, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat DET 123-104, and MIN's shots were worth 131.1 points to DET's 124.4.

MIN 123-104 DET, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN93100106.423/3124.7123131.1
DET958099.924/3224.6104124.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.