MIL 124-145 ATL, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MIL 145-124, and ATL's shots were worth 139.4 points to MIL's 119.8.

MIL 124-145 ATL, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	82	90	89.0	34/43	30.7	124	119.8
ATL	94	117	112.2	28/35	27.2	145	139.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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