CLE 127-122 LAC, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat LAC 127-122, and CLE's shots were worth 126.5 points to LAC's 119.3.

CLE 127-122 LAC, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE93109108.118/2318.3127126.5
LAC93106101.516/2217.9122119.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.