SAS 111-121 BOS, March 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat SAS 121-111, and BOS's shots were worth 120.5 points to SAS's 116.4.

SAS 111-121 BOS, March 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	87	90	96.6	21/27	19.8	111	116.4
BOS	94	107	106.3	14/18	14.3	121	120.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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