MIN 124-109 PHX, March 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat PHX 124-109, and MIN's shots were worth 117.0 points to PHX's 96.8.

MIN 124-109 PHX, March 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	89	113	106.8	11/13	10.1	124	117.0
PHX	79	100	86.2	9/13	10.6	109	96.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.