DET 133-122 CLE, March 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat CLE 133-122, and DET's shots were worth 126.1 points to CLE's 114.5.

DET 133-122 CLE, March 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	92	103	99.5	30/35	26.5	133	126.1
CLE	84	93	84.6	29/38	29.9	122	114.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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