SAC 128-107 POR, March 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat POR 128-107, but POR's shots were worth 114.3 points to SAC's 101.2.

SAC 128-107 POR, March 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	74	106	79.1	22/27	22.1	128	101.2
POR	88	86	94.0	21/26	20.3	107	114.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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