OKC 125-104 MEM, March 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MEM 125-104, and OKC's shots were worth 120.4 points to MEM's 102.5.

OKC 125-104 MEM, March 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	90	101	98.0	24/28	22.3	125	120.4
MEM	79	82	84.9	22/23	17.6	104	102.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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