CHI 119-117 LAL, March 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat LAL 119-117, but LAL's shots were worth 120.2 points to CHI's 119.5.

CHI 119-117 LAL, March 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	92	105	101.9	14/22	17.7	119	119.5
LAL	91	102	105.9	15/18	14.3	117	120.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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