WAS 109-162 IND, March 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat WAS 162-109, and IND's shots were worth 118.0 points to WAS's 108.3.

WAS 109-162 IND, March 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	85	87	88.4	22/26	19.8	109	108.3
IND	92	145	102.5	17/19	15.5	162	118.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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