NYK 113-126 LAC, March 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat NYK 126-113, but NYK's shots were worth 115.1 points to LAC's 112.8.

NYK 113-126 LAC, March 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NYK849797.616/2217.5113115.1
LAC8810694.020/2418.9126112.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.