PHI 114-119 WAS, March 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat PHI 119-114, but PHI's shots were worth 126.9 points to WAS's 118.6.

PHI 114-119 WAS, March 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI9898111.516/2015.4114126.9
WAS95114109.55/129.1119118.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.