POR 111-122 CLE, March 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat POR 122-111, but POR's shots were worth 122.9 points to CLE's 109.1.

POR 111-122 CLE, March 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	100	97	106.5	14/22	16.4	111	122.9
CLE	88	108	95.8	14/17	13.3	122	109.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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